Whereas Democrats (in all probability) received’t be as dangerous off within the 2021 spherical of redistricting as they had been within the 2011 spherical of redistricting, that bar is so low that it will get the bends if somebody tried to boost it to sea stage.
However we’ve talked about that already.
And now we have to speak about … something else we’ve already talked about.
Particularly, the Trump marketing campaign’s plot to make use of GOP-controlled state legislatures to subvert precise, reputable election outcomes and disenfranchise a whole bunch of hundreds of voters.
Although it violates due course of on a number of ranges and is each unconstitutional and unlawful eight methods to Sunday, Trump marketing campaign officers brazenly admitted a number of months in the past that they had been exploring avenues to have the GOP-controlled legislatures in states like Arizona, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin contrive an excuse to one way or the other ignore a possible Biden common vote victory and as a substitute have Republican state legislators seat Trump electors to forged Electoral School ballots in December.
Floor zero for the scheme seemed to be Pennsylvania, however GOP legislative management seems to not have an urge for food for that stage of shenanigans. Slightly, they’re going to use the gerrymandered majorities they held on to in each the state Home and Senate to attack election officials and look for ways to make voting more difficult in future elections for constituencies that are likely to assist Democrats.
On Monday, Nov. 23, Pennsylvania will certify the elections results, making Biden’s victory within the state official.
Now eyes flip to Michigan the place … effectively, some actually particular issues are taking place.
Like Pennsylvania, the Wolverine State is slated to certify its election outcomes on Monday, Nov. 23.
However drama has already plagued the antecedent county-level certification course of there, and drama continues because the certification date approaches.
Wayne County—which incorporates the overwhelmingly Black-majority metropolis of Detroit and the most important county in Michigan—met on Tuesday night to certify its election results.
Although it tends to vote overwhelmingly for Democrats, its elections board—like all such boards within the state—is bipartisan: two Democrats, two Republicans.
By the by, Biden decisively received Michigan (by over 140,000 votes). But when Wayne County’s votes had been for some bizarre purpose not counted within the state’s tally, Trump would have received.
Initially, the 2 Republicans (who’re white) on the Wayne County board stated they wouldn’t vote to certify the election outcomes, claiming unspecified (and apparently nonexistent) “irregularities” made them doubt the vote tally.
… until voting whereas Black is taken into account an “irregularity” by Republicans. Which, effectively …
Each Trump and the state Republican Party chair brazenly praised this blatant try and steal the election.
The transfer shortly caught metaphorical fireplace nationally, and the assembly dragged on for hours and the Republicans scrambled for a strategy to cowl their asses on this vote.
In the long run, they voted to certify the outcomes after reaching a “compromise” that concerned requesting that the secretary of state audit the outcomes.
Whew! Disaster averted!
… not so rattling quick.
As of this writing, Trump is flying the Republican leaders of both legislative chambers to D.C. on Friday for a gathering on the White Home.
Gee, no matter may they’ve to speak about?
Michigan Home Speaker Lee Chatfield and Senate Majority Chief Mike Shirkey haven’t but commented on the agenda for this assembly—however we are able to hazard a fairly dang well-educated guess.
You see, Michigan’s legislature remains to be technically in session.
Which signifies that, theoretically, the GOP-controlled chambers may meet and resolve to seat Trump electors as a substitute of Biden electors for … causes!
And sure, as everyone knows, that is all extraordinarily unconstitutional and unlawful and all that.
However we additionally know that Trump’s assaults on this election don’t have anything to do with any kind of foundation in legislation or reality.
Nevertheless, each of those Republicans already launched a legislative investigation into election results, citing as-yet-unsubstantiated “allegations relating to the integrity” of the Nov. 3 contest.
And even though all 83 Michigan counties have licensed their election outcomes, the state board—which, keep in mind, has two Democrats and two Republicans—vote to certify on Monday, which is normally a formality, is at the moment very a lot unsure.
Neither Republican has committed to voting to certify the election results. One has acknowledged publicly that he’s “leaning towards asking that the certification be delayed.”
A delayed certification offers the GOP-controlled legislature extra time to tug elector shenanigans.
Once more, unlawful and unconstitutional shenanigans, however Michigan Republicans seem poised to sow much more doubt and chaos into this election.
A number of members of Trump’s legal team have gone on record this week about their intention to have election outcomes “overturned and the legislatures … ensure that the electors are chosen for Trump.”
And even when Monday comes and goes with an uneventful election board assembly that appropriately certifies Biden as Michigan’s winner, there’s nonetheless Wisconsin, which received’t certify its election outcomes till Dec. 1.
No, this pathetic, determined try by the Trump marketing campaign to undermine—and probably even steal—this election may be very a lot not carried out.
And naturally it received’t succeed.
However the harm it’s inflicting is actual and can persist for cycles to return.
Particularly in contests the place the outcomes—not like on this presidential election—are literally shut.
Like, say, many state legislative elections.
It’s dangerous sufficient that Republican lawmakers are going to make use of bogus “investigations” into these election outcomes to provide them and excuse to train each darkish fantasy they’ve ever entertained about making voting harder and diminishing the impression of individuals of colour, college students, voters in city areas, and some other group the GOP regards as hostile to its pursuits.
However Republicans are sowing lasting doubts amongst their base about each single shut election they lose within the cycles to return.
And because it’s not terribly unusual for state legislative elections to be determined by 500 votes or fewer, that might find yourself being rather a lot.
Nicely, that’s a complete lot of doom and gloom.
However, as I discussed up prime, that is the final version of this missive earlier than Thanksgiving.
And whereas there’s positively quite a bit to be anxious about and terrified of proper now, we are able to’t afford to neglect to be thankful for the nice issues in our lives.
Me? I’m grateful for you.
You learn this.
Regardless of the vitality that requires in a time after we’re all feeling somewhat out of steam, you care.